Rainfall probabilities and amounts associated with monsoon depressions over India
Composite charts of distribution of probabilities of 24-hr rainfall amounts >=2.5 mm and >= 65 mm and the average 24-hr rainfall amounts over India are determined for various geographical locations of the depressions by using, daily rainfall data of 220 stations for a 16-year period. The composite charts of rainfall probabilities are used to issue forecasts of probability of rain at 12 stations during five independent years. These forecasts when evaluated by a proper quadratic score showed skill score of 10%.
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